Tropical Storm Erin, which is strengthening over the Atlantic and could become a major hurricane soon

 Storm Overview & Forecast

via AP

Formation & Current Location 

Erin formed on August 11 in the eastern Atlantic, just west of the Cape Verde Islands. As of its latest reports and findings from the source, the storm had sustained winds of around 45 mph (40 kt) and was moving toward the west at 20–23 mph.

Expected Impact by this formation

Analysts and research looking at this forecast that Erin will likely form into the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season by midweek, possibly reaching Category 3 (major hurricane) strength by this weekend.

Impact the Conditions

The Saharan Air Layer—a plume of dry, dusty air—is being drawn into Erin. This can inhibit storm organization and structure, possibly delaying intensification and affecting Erin’s track.

Projected Path & Risk Zones

Most computer models show a "recurvature"—a northward bend—suggesting Erin will remain over open waters and away from major landmasses. I hope so; it will not form on lands. However, some versions, including the European model, hint at a potential closer approach toward the U.S. East Coast, especially if the system remains weaker longer. There’s also a possible—but currently low—chance of affecting Bermuda, the northern Leeward Islands, eastern Canada, or even parts of the U.S., depending on future changes in steering currents.


No Watches or Warnings Yet At this time, there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect as of now.